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September 11, 2022 vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Game Dey!!!

Week 13: Chargers @ Bengals


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Interesting  note from Tanier in his walkthrough today. Explains why I still struggle to get excited about this team.


The Bengals rank 7th in the NFL in variance, meaning that six teams are theoretically less predictable than they are. But those teams are either steadily improving (Patriots), somewhat steadily declining (Bills), or have been forced to start wildly different rosters due to injuries throughout the season (Saints, Panthers, Browns). The Bengals are truly the NFL's most unpredictable team.

The Bengals have posted single-game passing DVOA figures ranging from -89.1% (Week 2, Bears) to 96.0% (Week 3, Steelers). Their rushing DVOA has ranged from -36.6% (Week 8, Jets) to 19.2% (Steelers, last week). The Bengals pass defense DVOA reached -20.7% against the Steelers in Week 3 but "fell" to 56.2% against the Browns in Week 9. Their run defense has been relatively consistent and effective, though it reached a below-average 10.3% against the Jaguars in Week 4 and 8.3% in the Jets upset. Special teams? A low of -12.3% against the Packers in Week 5 (missed late-game and overtime field goals), a high of 10.9% against the Raiders in Week 11 (three 50-plus-yard field goals).

It's true that the Bengals are playing much better since their bye, but they posted their worst back-to-back DVOA games just before the bye, so it's unclear how real their improvement is.


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