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some input...

ct_bengal

By ct_bengal
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ct_bengal Newbie

ct_bengal

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dont kno if this is the right section or not, im nearly done programming my football prediction machine, wanted some input from those willing as to a scoring system (ie a passing touchdown for every 100 yds thrown or something of that nature) i have one in place rite now i just wanted to see if any one had any good ideas. the machine is based off 2009 season stats and ofcourse im going to post the bengals "predicted" season after all is said and done which should be a day or two. i was looking at run offense vs run d. stuff like that, i appreciate any ideas

agreen_112 Newbie

agreen_112

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i got it to go jus fine tuning it, i got the point system to be based of points scored per game and points allowed, but i got to fix a line of code still

Are you a gambler? If so, I want in on this!

ct_bengal Newbie

ct_bengal

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i got it to go jus fine tuning it, i got the point system to be based of points scored per game and points allowed, but i got to fix a line of code still

Are you a gambler? If so, I want in on this!

haha yep yep thats why i chose this for my final project, im tinkering with it til i have accurate results for the 2009 season. i have it so i can update it after each weeks stats come out, so theorectically the predictions will be more accurate as the season plays out. but for the first 3 or four weeks will probly be a bit off if teams change alot statiscally. i wrote it in java if i can find a way ill link it up here if ur interested in using it

ct_bengal Newbie

ct_bengal

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ok here is what would happen to the bengals (approxiamtely) if the 2009 bengals played the 2010 sched (and also all teams for that matter are based off of 2009, it does not take into account any projected upgrades from the 2010 offseason). I am a bengals fan so dont rip my balls of if u dont like the computers projections.

Bengals 19 at Patriots 29

Ravens 29 at Bengals 24

Bengals 25 at Panthers 22

Bengals 21 at Browns 18

Buccaneers 12 at Bengals 20

Bengals 17 at Falcons 25

Dolphins 25 at Bengals 20

Steelers 26 at Bengals 21

Bengals 19 at Colts 29

Bills 14 at Bengals 23

Bengals 22 at Jets 24

Saints 31 at Bengals 23

Bengals 18 at Steelers 29

Bengals 21 at Browns 15

Chargers 28 at Bengals 21

Bengals 26 at Ravens 27

so according the gambler machine the bengals would go 5-11, i do have weather buttons but i chose not to use so these games would be under ideal conditions. homefield did play a part, i also used a random turnover point machine that determines each teams own turnover percentage and a kick off return percentage as well. i still want to do something with the average number of points off of turnovers so its still a work in progress.

the program in my eyes is much rather for spread decisions over anything else. for example if vegas gives +3 to bengals on the final game then ill take it based on the simulation. these games are all pretty close winnable games in my eyes so i cant wait to see how the new stats look wen the 2010 season starts.

there are 8 games that are 1 possession here (8 points or less), 4 games decided by 6 points or less, 3 games decided by 3 points or less

so they would need some luck to pull out 9-10 wins based off of this prediction machine

dont forget this is going off of the 2009 season not a projection of 2010

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