So…looking at the remaining games, I’d say they need 4. 10 wins might squeak in but it would probably mean they need help. I think 11 gets them there straight up.
Must-wins are Baltimore, Cleveland, Bills and Pats. Have to win those first two to have any hope of snatching the AFCN crown again, and at least one if not both of the last two will be competing against them for a WC spot if they don’t.
Bucs game is the most lose-able game left. NFC team, basically no playoff implications aside from overall record (yes, if you go deep enough into tiebreakers maybe it matters but if that’s the case they’re probably screwed anyhow).
That leaves this week’s tilt against the Chiefs. Goes without saying a win would be ideal. But KC is 3 games up on SD, they’re almost certainly going to win the west, so they won’t figure into any AFC WC scrum. A loss would suck and turn the screws tighter on the remaining games, but isn’t fatal.
Hope they get it done. Not gonna freak if they don’t.