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Excellent Injury Piece by Hobson


HoosierCat

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http://www.bengals.com/press/news.asp?iCur...=0&news_id=2760

A must-read. The most ironic bit is Coyle giving the old "good teams overcome injuries" line, which is completely disproved by the chart earlier in the story! I have rarely seen a stat so directly correlate with winning/losing.

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I wouldn't say it is completely disproved. It shows the teams that had the most injuries were not able to win games. Obviously none of them were good teams that were able to overcome their injuries.

No, it shows that injuries can only be overcome on a very limited basis, which seems to be reached about the time that the number of starters knocked out hits four. Consider:

Teams with 0-1 IR'd starters: 9

# who went .500 or better: 9

Teams with 2-3 IR'd starters: 12

# who went .500 or better: 8

Teams with 4+ IR'd starters: 11

# who went .500 or better: 0

Teams can handle one starter going down. Two or three and your chances erode, but are still good. At four, you go all the way to the bottom.

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Luckily for the Bengals their back-up depth wasn't much different than the current starters that went down talent wise.

Warrick was the biggest loss and TJ basically repeated his production as a WR, although he really didn't come on until the end of the year when Palmer started figuring things out...but they still missed Warrick's versatility I think.

If anything this shows just how poor the over-all talent on the Bengals' roster has been for several years, versus some miraculous coaching job.

As stated above NE lost 3 "stars" from their defense - including arguably the best CB in the game - and still won the SB.

Completely meaningless article by Hobson...what's new.

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Luckily for the Bengals their back-up depth wasn't much different than the current starters that went down talent wise.

Warrick was the biggest loss and TJ basically repeated his production as a WR, although he really didn't come on until the end of the year when Palmer started figuring things out...but they still missed Warrick's versatility I think.

If anything this shows just how poor the over-all talent on the Bengals' roster has been for several years, versus some miraculous coaching job.

As stated above NE lost 3 "stars" from their defense - including arguably the best CB in the game - and still won the SB.

Completely meaningless article by Hobson...what's new.

Not entirerly meaningless, NE lost 3 starters which put them in a low percentage of teams that won more that 50% of their games.. One more starter and they'd have bit the dust as all the others did....

Its not how many with these teams per say... Its WHO you lose... If we were to lose Braham ( which we did and had a losing record without him), Bobo Williams, Nate Webster ( again) and Kim Herring our chances of above .500 would be greater than say Palmer, big Willie, Levi and Simmons imo...

Its Who goes down not exactly how many imo....

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Hardly a meaningless article, in fact I'd love to see a study done based on a larger number of seasons as to get more meaningful stats out of all this.

Perhaps I'd be more likely to poo-poo this article if it hadn't reaffirmed my opinion of several teams, such as San Diego and the Jets....

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