
AMPHAR
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AMPHAR last won the day on March 19
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Is it too late to camp out on top of building until the Reds score a run?
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Brown family doesn't want to move. As the story goes they were gone in 1993. Then a last minute deal to turn the "yellow" riverfront section into a stadium club was reached. Then Marge blocked it. Which put on them on path of Baltimore which people mocked, then Cleveland took it. This all started even before they were in Superbowl 23. When the salary cap grows based on league wide revenue and your stadium can't match what other league team's produce they aren't going to stay in Cincinnati and lose millions in revenue while their expense grows. Its best the County looks forward instead of resisting. Put forth the plan now to get them to sign the extension and don't default on the promises. Give another city or county in this case an opportunity to start throwing around new stadia ideas then all of sudden Hamilton County is in a worse situation than 1995 because they have way more debt invested in the riverfront today and the only way that is managed is by having more patrons visit the Riverfront.
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Guard is a need for sure. But they have over 100 NFL starts between the top 3 today. IF you get Mims/Brown performing up to a level expected/hoped for then hiding low quality starting guards is quite doable. But they could line up today with what they have and with who they are throwing to, you can expect a top 10 offense. Its really more about optimization and getting rid of the handful of negative plays that have plagued this offense for what seems like an eternity. An equal problem all these years is average to bad tackle play as well. Jonah Williams? Brown Jr. while he hasn't been that much of an upgrade and Right Tackle has been a parade of hoping they get at least average. If there's a high quality tackle at 17 just given the history. They have to consider it.
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The reality is Cincinnati is only a major league city when you factor in regional populations. Thus there are obvious in market relocation options as well. Obviously Chicago. But Columbus? Louisvillde? Boone County/Florence? Sure. If Cincinnati could make it work, then those market could. When factor in UFL markets. All new/existing college football and soccer stadiums that could serve as a temp home a move would be easy.
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That was the exact same attitude in 1989. People laughed at the thought of Jacksonville Bengals. Laughed at Nashville, Charlotte. Flat out thought he was lying about Baltimore. What you can or can not see isn't a factor. All those markets I listed above are better and no worse equal to Cincinnati today. Haven't even discussed a move within the market but out of Hamilton County. Its best if the County makes a good faith effort in the current time to keep them. Then keep those promises. Fuck around and they'll once again find out how easy it is for a NFL team to move.
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It'd be easy to move. Any UFL city could take them tomorrow operational wise. The Oilers moved in a year played a season in Memphis. Bengals have all the leverage and if the county drags their feet and attempts to test the Brown family willingness to move, they'll just paint themselves into a corner like the last time. The entire riverfront is built on a pile of debt financed by sales tax. Every Bengals home game is like a minor opening day. They are stuck, its best to give the promise of improvement to get them to sign the option years then try like hell to meet those so they'll sign the next extension.
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Just NFL business. No need to be upset. Trey will get squared away eventually or maybe traded. He'll realize the going on the McAfee program the "Bengals Cheap" narrative isn't going to go as far as it would have prior to signing Chase/Higgins. Eventually it will revert back to him because just about everybody wanted to return so what's his fucking problem with winning? Hold out gets him no where. Tag is looming. Really nothing to worry about. He's here or they get a boat load of a trade.
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Trey is limited in his leverage. A holdout gets him nothing, because with Tee/Chase done he's the prime Franchise Tag candidate for next year and maybe afterward. If your Trey, I guess you have to hope the Bengals don't go scorched earth and pull all offers after the draft and call your bluff. If your the Bengals I'd get my price or I'm leaving the possibility open that a team gets frisky during draft weekend and ups the ante. Bottom line for right now there isn't a whole lot of incentive for either party to move before draft day, I guess.
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Just a guess. My guess is one or more of the tackles is on their target list at 17. Brown has 2 years, entering his 30s, and has had injury issues popping up. They've had OT injuries just about every year. A OT draft pick could do the following: Improve guard (play OT draftee there immediately), add to OT depth, plan for future. Maybe that's why they've halted guard FA search. Signing a starter at guard takes a spot this OT prospect could use. Then you are looking at drafting a guy that doesn't get on the field at 17. I'd say Safety is another spot in which a first rounder has an opportunity to get on the field. DL- its a mucher tougher battle. Then in the later rounds they could look for a pure guard. But there's only 1 spot among the OL group right now open maybe 2.
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Perine is a big upgrade in short yardage. They'll still need better blocking. There's a couple DEs I'd be more than comfortable taking at 17. However, DT/DE have positional depth AND its odd typing this, both those positions don't have a clear path to being active on game day much less snaps. Now if the guy is a standout and jolts to the top of the depth chart that's great. But with injuries last year they were keeping at least 1 DL inactive on gameday. A more healthy roster plus the vets they probably can find a similar graded player at 17 that has a bigger path to snaps. Safety, maybe. Obviously G which would be best to grab a OT and play them at G for a year or 2.
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You tryin to say Jesus Christ can't hit a curve ball? -
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IMPACT? Well depends on what you personally judge as making an impact, but below are the DL/LB hybrid top guys from previous year with percent of snaps, and sacks. By and large the opinions of this year's crop as a whole has it a better and deeper vs. 2024. 1. Byron Murphy 11 - 40% snaps, .5 sack 2. Johnny Newton - 47% snaps, 2 sack 3. Braden Fiske - 60% snaps, 8.5 sacks 4. Dallas Turner - 26% snaps, 3 sacks 5. Jared Verse - 75% snaps, 4.5 sacks 6. Chop Robinson 53% snaps, 6 sacks 7. Kris Jenkins, 44% snaps, 3 sacks. Rams got the most out of their 2 front seven picks (Fiske and Verse). All these guys were mid 1st/2nd rounder types. Of course got to factor in scheme, injury, roster make up. With the Bengals, I think any pick in the first 4 rounds at DT or DE would mirror a 40% snap count 3-4 sacks at Best. That's with the assumption of Trey extension. They are going to have to fend off Trey, Ossai, Murphy, Sample at DE. DT - Hill, Jenkins, Slaton, Jackson. So there's a bigger potential of IMPACT at Safety. OT/G. (Assuming any OT would play inside first), IMO. I do feel like not getting 2 DL from this draft would be disappointing.
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Vikings had $70m of dead cap when they did JJ deal. Mainly dealing with Kirk Cousins. That was about 27% or 28% of the cap. In that year. That forced them to push more cap in the back years with JJ. Which could present a problem for them in 2027/2028 Where as the Bengals got two WRs under contract and probably only have 1 problematic year with Chase (but also $40m of potential cap savings). That's the advantage of dead cap elimination. Rapien or whoever's rants are idiotic because 1st they need drama to get views 2nd you have to pay attention and reconcile numbers which they probably don't have the skills to do so to recognize multi year cap strategy. Finally the Bengals could sign a handful of FAs with the cap room they have now without cap gymnastics. Cap room isn't an issue. Its probably most likely the guys available are only going to become options as the price goes down OR they don't get the guys they wanted in the draft. Its a little clearer when you realize the the franchise is trying to win instead of buying into the cheap narrative.