Joe Burrow is the best QB Prospect I have scouted since Andrew Luck (I am a hardcore draft nerd and have scouting profiles for drafts going back to the 90's). He seems to have the "it" factor that all highly successful QBs seem to have (Competitive Fire, Passion for the Game, intense competitive nature etc.). He checks off all the boxes: Arm Strength: check (I don't care what the scouting reports say from the start of the season, watching his tape I see no issue with arm strength what so ever, his balls go deep downfield with almost no fluttering), Mobility: check, Leadership: check plus, Football IQ: Check Plus, Accuracy: check plus, etc..
For the Bengals, specifically, he is an even better prospect; local kid (relatively), ties back to the community, etc.
This all being said, the question that keeps rattling around in my brain is around Andrew Luck.... Andrew Luck was a perfect QB Prospect. Body Shape, Athleticism, Football IQ, long time Power 5 starter with a great book of film, son of an NFL QB, I could go on...he was perfect and yet he did not propel a mediocre Colts organization to Elite status. Now, some of that is due to injuries that derailed and eventually ended his career, but that facts are that, while not a bust Andrew Luck did not fix the Colts.
With Burrow, we have one year of mediocre tape and one year of tape that is superb (probably the best ever coming from an SEC QB). Was it the system? Is Joe Brady just that good? Particularly about injuries, while there are no red flags (there weren't for Luck either), his body has taken a lot fewer hits than a normal senior college QB so, can he stand up to the rigors of an NFL season? These things NO ONE can answer. Do I think Burrow will be a good/great NFL QB...Yes I do. Will I be thrilled if he is their pick at #1...yes I will be. If someone is willing to back the Brinks truck with picks up to the Bengals door and the deal is right, you take it... Let's face it the Bengals scouting department needs all the help it can get. Again, I don't think that will happen...the only team with the draft capital capable of making the blockbuster trade that would be required it Miami and the reason they traded all the trade-able assets on the team was to build draft capital for this draft....I think Burrow will be the pick and I think that is awesome.
Onto #33....OLine or Linebackers. The third round for skill position (WR or TE) I think Murray from Oklahoma will end up dropping and either Alex Leatherwood, Josh Jones, Jedrick Wills, Sam Cosmi, or Austin Jackson will be there for the Bengals at #33. My preference is in the order I stated previously with Leatherwood and Jones the top two prospects (it is a given at this point that Thomas and Wirfs are going to be long gone by #33). I would like us to spend the second pick on OLine but if a top Linebacker prospect were to drop they might go that direction and that would be ok given the state of our Linebacker corps. If they go LB at #33 then Mekhi Becton from Louisville or Lucas Niang from TCU would be strong 3rd Rd. prospects to go after.