Don's Crystal Ball Week 6 Piks

[thedon]

THE DON'S

Crystal Ball

2009 SEASON

WEEK 6 PICKS

By DonCanabis/D'BOYZ

Analyst/Godfather

Ok its better late that never; it’s been a tough week for me, but I’m here and ready for the show. Well this year parity if definitely over; I can’t remember when was the last time we saw 5 teams still undefeated by week 5 and 4 teams still winless, the NFL it’s just getting weird. Plus we have teams beaten the big lines by landslide and this week it just plain crazy 9 underdog teams beat the line not only that 7 of them actually won their game. We’re having tons for trades before the deadline this is starting too look like another sport altogether. Coaches are already in the Hot seat and talks about replacements have already started.

Sorry for the guys that read this column and I didn’t give them enough time before the games this week.

Quick Hits

•Usually bad teams have a game that they’re not supposed to win and pull it off and beat at least an avrg team, like the Browns did last week to Buffalo. But, I don’t see how teams like St. Louis and Tampa can pull a W this year. You can even throw Oakland there even if they have won one.

•When 3 teams fired their OC just before the start off the season I called it the worst move ever not only the weirdest. For a second Buffalo got me worried when they almost beat New England in week 1 but after that scared teams that fired their OC before the start of the season are 1-14, Guess it won’t catch up like the WildCat for next year.

•Denver and Cincinnati are the surprise teams of this year right now no Questions about it, they’re playing great defense, and even if they don’t dominate a team they find ways to win. But, I would advise you to stay away from them in the sports books. All their games have been close and ended in low scores. So even with small lines against them it’s too much risk to pick them. if you’re going to bet choose other games. Their games are great too watch but not when your money is on the line.

•What has happened too my Super Bowl pick this year after starting 3-0 now they stand 3-2 and could wake up Monday easily 3-3, once a proud defense now they fold without a fight.

•Raise hands how many of you would had ever believe the Bengals will have the best defense in the AFC North.

On to the games

St. Louis at Jacksonville -9.5 Ovr/Und 42

The Jaguars are pissing me off. Before the season started I didn’t gave them two cents and after the first 2 games I was right but then they go out and win back to back games and got me fooled thinking they weren’t as bad as I believed and their young Oline and Dline where showing off one year early from my prediction and then came last week pathetic. This should be the week in other years a bad team like St. Louis would come out guns blazing and save their honor but this has been a weird year so far so we might just go with the trend. Plus I can’t get over the fact of how bad, and how many where their Turnovers last week almost as bad as J. Russell that’s how bad

Straight: Jac

Spread:Jac

Ovr/Und: Und

Kansas City at Washington -6.5 Ovr/Und 37

Well by know we all know that every team that the redskins have faced where 0 and something when they played. Not only that the redskins gave their first W to Detroit and Carolina. Now the 0-5 Chiefs come to town after an OT loss to Dallas that still might hurt. I can see Was playing everything this week before the by especially because it could be Zorn’s last game as the Redskins HC if he wants to last until the end of the season (not going to happen) they not only need to win this game but win it big.

Straight: Was

Spread: KC

Ovr/Und: Ovr

Houston at Cincinnati -5 Ovr/Und 45

Houston is playing better they were less than a yard away off sending their game to OT which is encouraging and at the same time worrisome. If the Bengals would like to be seen as real contenders they should win this game by a landslide but, I say they’ll will continue the trend of close games.

Straight: Cin

Spread: Hou

Ovr/Und: Und

Baltimore at Minnesota -3 Ovr/Und 44

Man, can you all actually believe this is the first time Favre is 5-0 in his career and it only took him 17 years Wow. What can I say 1 of this teams is playing sound football in all 3 areas of the game the other is just playing good in 2. Baltimore will try to hit Favre all day and take him out of his game. Peterson has almost been a nonfactor in the past two games let’s see if he shows up this week. Take the home team

Straight: Min

Spread: Min

Ovr/Und: Ovr

Detroit at Green Bay -13.5 Ovr/Und 48.5

Detroit has their 2 star players hurt and at least 1 wont play Sunday, Green Bay is playing home and rested take the cheese heads.

Straight: GB

Spread: GB

Ovr/Und: Und

Cleveland at Pittsburgh -14 Ovr/Und 38

I don’t know what to do with the line of this game. Pit just got a leader back but lost another one, they should win this game easy but the same thing can be said about last week against Detroit and they almost let them come back at the end. The steelers have found ways to keep teams close every week so a line of 14 worries me. But, I don’t forget that Cleveland won their first game last week by a score of 6-3 and they needed a muffed punt to take the win. Ahhh that helped.

Straight:Pit

Spread: Pit

Ovr/Und: Und

Carolina at Tampa Bay 3.5 Ovr/Und 40

Man how good would have been this game had the Panthers not beat the redskins last week. Clear to say Tampa Bay is rebuilding and just traded their starting DE, they don’t have a QB right now but neither does Carolina. This game came at a great moment for the panthers because it could be a momentum builder.

Straight:Car

Spread:Car

Ovr/Und:Und

New York Giants at New Orleans -3 Ovr/Und 47.5

I wanted to take NY for this game, with all the story of Eli playing at the dome for the first time and coming home but his injury will cause him more problems and The Saints playing at home with two weeks to prepare I have to take the home team on this one.

Straight: NO

Spread: NO

Ovr/Und: Ovr

Arizona at Seattle -3 Ovr/Und 47

What difference Matt is to this team. What is weird is that when he has been healthy they’re 2-0 and the defense has shut down their opponents. Arizona doesn’t travel well up north so I would take the home team.

Straight:Sea

Spread: Sea

Ovr/Und: Ovr

Philadelphia at Oakland 14 Ovr/Und 40.5

I took Oakland last week with a teaser and a +22 margin that’s more than 3 TD’s and they still lost for more than 22 points cost me my earnings of last week. What I don’t get it’s that even if they were losing by 20 and Russell playing as bad as he did they wouldn’t take him out it was just ridiculous.

Straight: Phi

Spread: Phi

Ovr/Und: Ovr

Buffalo at New York Jets -10 Ovr/Und 38

Man it was weird seeing Rex Ryan’s defense losing the game for their team last week. Buffalo has zero offense but this is a division game and I expect a little fight from the Bills, even if they played as bad as they did last week. But I really don’t want to be that Bills offense after Rex picked on that defense all week.

Straight: NYJ

Spread: NYJ

Ovr/Und: Und

Tennessee at New England -9.5 Ovr/Und 43.5

The Titans defense is playing really bad losing their DC has hurt them big but, not only that they will play without their top cb’s this week. 4 of their 5 loses have been by more than 7 points, Their past 3 games they’ve lost for more than 17. with this take the not you 07 Patriots to win the game and the line.

Straight: NE

Spread: NE

Ovr/Und: Und

Chicago at Atlanta : -3.5 Ovr/Und 46

Upset of the week

What a dominating win Atlanta had last week Against SF, clearing taking full advantage of the bye week they came and dominated a 49ers team. Now the tables have turned and they face a well rested and prepared team. Each week Cutler seems more and more comfortable with his new team so I expect a way better offense from them. Plus we all know he keep close track on what’s happening in Denver and I know pride will kick in just to show them.

Straight:Chi

Spread: Chi

Ovr/Und: Und

Denver at San Diego: -4 Ovr/Und 44

This might be the most important game of the season for San Diego if they lose they fall 3½ games behind Denver and they would need a miracle to make the playoffs after that so if they want any hope of making it this year they need to show up this week. This team has had 2 weeks to watch and prepare for this game but, they have many injuries in both sides of the ball and even if LT doesn’t want to admit it he’s playing like a 30 year old back. I will take the home team in a important game but, I will take the points of the better team because they sure like to make it interesting.

Straight:SD

Spread:Den

Ovr/Und: Und

The Not so Hot Picks (13-17) 43%

Carolina (league)

Philadelphia (league)

Chicago (league)

Seattle

Pittsburgh

Kansas City