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Posted

Bengals 3.5 dogs at Chiefs

Other notable games:

Steelers 5.5 fav over Dolphins

Bucs 4.0 favs over Ravens

Browns 3.0 favs over Saints

Colts 4.0 favs over Giants

Anyone taking a bet right now is insane considering how many injuries come out of training camp and pre-season

Posted

3.5 doesn't really bother me, considering we still have no clue who will be starting for us at QB. Come to think of it, 3.5 is amazing "considering" we still have no clue who will be starting for us at QB !!!

I agree with the other games as well...

WHODEY !!!

Posted

Keep in mind that Vegas isn't intereted in picking the winner, they're interested in getting people to bet --- on both sides of the line. So considering that the Chiefs are always tough at home and the Bengals have no QB, the line is probably inflated on the Bengals' side. The Chiefs should be a BIG favorite.

The silver lining, however, is that people are betting on the Bengals and Vegas needs to coax them over to the Chiefs' side.

Posted
Bengals 3.5 dogs at Chiefs

Other notable games:

Steelers 5.5 fav over Dolphins

Bucs 4.0 favs over Ravens

Browns 3.0 favs over Saints

Colts 4.0 favs over Giants

Anyone taking a bet right now is insane considering how many injuries come out of training camp and pre-season

No, you'd be very, very smart. Make a bet now. Then, wait until the line shifts as it inevitably will. If it shifted in your favor, then you're in good shape. If it moves against you, then you take a bet on the opposite team, especially if the line moves 3 points. Then, your exposure is limited to the 5-10% vig, and you have a chance of winning both bets if the margin of victory ends up between the first and second line you bet. There are a number of variations on this.

Quite simply, the more the line moves, the better for you, whichever way it moves, because it gives you options.

Put it this way: People make money when Vegas acts on bad information. A line this early is, by definition, bad information. The gambler has the advantage because he can make later bets to hedge his earlier bet or keep it if it turns out to his advantage. Early bets are a fantastic gambling opportunity. That's why I like football more than a perimutuel gambling scheme like in horseracing.

Posted

Bengals 3.5 dogs at Chiefs

Other notable games:

Steelers 5.5 fav over Dolphins

Bucs 4.0 favs over Ravens

Browns 3.0 favs over Saints

Colts 4.0 favs over Giants

Anyone taking a bet right now is insane considering how many injuries come out of training camp and pre-season

No, you'd be very, very smart. Make a bet now. Then, wait until the line shifts as it inevitably will. If it shifted in your favor, then you're in good shape. If it moves against you, then you take a bet on the opposite team, especially if the line moves 3 points. Then, your exposure is limited to the 5-10% vig, and you have a chance of winning both bets if the margin of victory ends up between the first and second line you bet. There are a number of variations on this.

Quite simply, the more the line moves, the better for you, whichever way it moves, because it gives you options.

Put it this way: People make money when Vegas acts on bad information. A line this early is, by definition, bad information. The gambler has the advantage because he can make later bets to hedge his earlier bet or keep it if it turns out to his advantage. Early bets are a fantastic gambling opportunity. That's why I like football more than a perimutuel gambling scheme like in horseracing.

I was able to do this on during the first round of the NCAA Tournament when I had Gonzaga on the first day last game on a 6 team parlay card. Seeing how I won the first five games on the parlay card I then went and hedged part of my bet against Gonzaga right before tipoff. What worked out for me was that the point difference from the early parlay bet and the straight up wager had moved by a point which created a situation that when Xavier made that cheapy layup at the end of the game I landed right in between on both the parlay and the straight wager making it so that I cashed in on both the 6 team parlay and the straight up wager- what a sweet day that was!

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